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54%
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AZS UMCS Lublin Women vs Rzeszow Women: match prediction on 20 September 2026
AZS UMCS Lublin Women
Rzeszow Women
Prediction for
Win: AZS UMCS Lublin Women
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
63%
1
37%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 17:18- АЗС УМСК Люблин (жен), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Жешув (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, АЗС УМСК Люблин (жен) — 5, Жешув (жен.) — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
AZS UMCS Lublin Women
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Rzeszow Women
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 8
5AZS UMCS Lublin Women
0Draw
3Rzeszow Women
- 13 AprAZS UMCS Lublin Women — Rzeszow Women30:32
- 13 Dec 2025Rzeszow Women — AZS UMCS Lublin Women20:38
- 7 Mar 2025AZS UMCS Lublin Women — Rzeszow Women26:25
- 20 Oct 2024Rzeszow Women — AZS UMCS Lublin Women40:28
- 23 Mar 2024Rzeszow Women — AZS UMCS Lublin Women32:28
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 17:18AZS UMCS Lublin Women are the favourites to beat Rzeszow Women on Saturday, with the model placing a 63% probability on a home victory. The hosts have scored more freely this season and carry a superior head-to-head record, while Rzeszow's recent away form offers little reassurance.
Identical records, different profiles
Both sides sit on 9 points from their last 5 matches, each winning 3 and losing 2. Lublin have netted 164 goals while conceding 140, an average of 32.8 per game. Rzeszow have managed 129 goals for and 134 against, averaging 25.8 and 26.8 respectively. The hosts attack with greater volume, and the model reflects that with an expectation of 31 goals for Lublin against 26.2 for the visitors.
Recent meeting went the other way
The last encounter on 13 April ended 32:30 in Rzeszow's favour at Lublin's home ground. The visitors' win in April was their only victory at Lublin in that span, but it demonstrates the margin can be razor-thin when they are at their best.
Away form raises questions
The away record against higher-calibre opposition suggests they may struggle to impose themselves at Lublin, where the hosts have won both of their home games in this run.
When the prediction breaks
A draw would suit Rzeszow's approach of controlling tempo and limiting risk. If the visitors adopt a conservative strategy and exploit Lublin's tendency to concede in bursts, the 0% draw figure is dead weight. The pick flips if Rzeszow can keep the match tight and force extra time, where their experience in tight encounters could tell.