Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Beykoz Belediyespor vs Spor Toto: match prediction on 23 September 2026
Beykoz Belediyespor
Spor Toto
Prediction for
Win: Spor Toto
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
45%
1
55%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 15:03- Бейкоз Беледиеспор — 5. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Спор Тото — 6. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Бейкоз Беледиеспор, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Спор Тото, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Бейкоз Беледиеспор — 8, 2 draws, Спор Тото — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Beykoz Belediyespor
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Spor Toto
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 12
9Beykoz Belediyespor
2Draw
1Spor Toto
- 15 Dec 2025Spor Toto — Beykoz Belediyespor40:29
- 26 Feb 2025Spor Toto — Beykoz Belediyespor33:33
- 13 Oct 2024Beykoz Belediyespor — Spor Toto44:35
- 21 May 2024Beykoz Belediyespor — Spor Toto32:26
- 19 May 2024Beykoz Belediyespor — Spor Toto31:29
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 15:03Spor Toto to win by two goals or more — 65% confidence
Spor Toto are favourites to win by two or more.
The visitors have also played one fewer match. Their points-per-game average is 1.00, compared to Beykoz's 1.33, but the raw goal difference tells a different story. The visitors have beaten Trabzon 38:34 away and lost to Beşiktaş 27:36 at home, showing they can score in bursts and also concede heavily. That volatility works in their favour here.
The head-to-head record belongs to Beykoz Belediyespor — eight wins in eleven meetings — but the last two meetings have been tighter. Spor Toto won 40:29 in December 2025 and drew 33:33 in February 2025, and both matches featured high scoring. The form is solid, but not dominant.
Spor Toto are expected to score 33 goals and Beykoz 31, a difference of two. That gap is small in absolute terms but meaningful in handball, where margins are often decided by a single possession. The visitors have scored 167 goals in five matches — an average of 33.4 per game — while Beykoz have managed 164 in five, averaging 32.8. This projection aligns with that trend, and it suggests Spor Toto will edge the encounter. The model estimates the draw probability at 0%.
Spor Toto's recent European Cup matches against RK Vogošća have been one-sided — 37:21 and 40:22 — and while those fixtures are not directly comparable to a Superlig match, they show the visitors can dominate when they find their rhythm. Beykoz have not faced European opposition in the same period. Their last five competitive matches were all domestic.
This conclusion stops holding if Spor Toto start poorly and Beykoz seize control early. If the match stays level past the halfway point, Beykoz's home advantage becomes harder to ignore. Spor Toto's expected goals could shift if Beykoz's attack finds its range, but the current data points to Spor Toto.
The prediction holds unless Spor Toto start poorly. Beykoz have been solid but not spectacular, and their recent form includes a 40:43 defeat away at Giresunspor that shows vulnerability. Spor Toto's attacking output suggests they will find the net more often.