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BM Torrelavega vs Nava: match prediction on 19 September 2026
BM Torrelavega
Nava
Prediction for
Win: BM Torrelavega
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
58%
1
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 17:18- БМ Торрельавега — 13. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Нава — 15. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- БМ Торрельавега, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Нава, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, БМ Торрельавега — 6, Нава — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
BM Torrelavega
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Nava
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 7
6BM Torrelavega
0Draw
1Nava
- 2 MayNava — BM Torrelavega33:38
- 7 Dec 2025BM Torrelavega — Nava28:25
- 18 Apr 2025BM Torrelavega — Nava28:24
- 23 Nov 2024Nava — BM Torrelavega28:29
- 10 Apr 2024Nava — BM Torrelavega36:41
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 17:18Post-Match Report: BM Torrelavega vs Nava
The match took place on 19 September 2026, kicking off at 17:00 UTC. BM Torrelavega enters the league campaign sitting 13th in the standings, having played one match with zero points from a draw. Nava occupies the 16th position, also with zero points from a single draw.
Context and Form
BM Torrelavega arrives in poor recent form, having lost their last five matches across all competitions. Their goal difference in that period stands at 126 scored and 161 conceded. In contrast, Nava has shown more resilience in their last five outings, securing three wins and suffering two defeats, with a goal tally of 157 for and 153 against. Despite this loss, their overall form suggests a team capable of causing upsets, as evidenced by their heavy victories over Agustinos Alicante earlier in the season.
Head-to-Head History
The historical record heavily favours BM Torrelavega. In the last six recorded meetings, Torrelavega has won five times, while Nava has managed a single victory. The most recent encounter occurred on 2 May 2026, where Nava hosted Torrelavega in a Liga ASOBAL match that ended in a 33-38 defeat for the hosts. Prior to that, Torrelavega won at home against Nava with a 28-25 scoreline in December 2025.
Match Dynamics and Prediction
A statistical model predicted a high-scoring affair, anticipating 32 goals for BM Torrelavega and 28.9 for Nava. The probability of a draw was calculated at 0%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring was also estimated at 0%.
Team news regarding injuries or suspensions was not available for either side at the time of writing. Reports circulating in unrelated sports contexts mentioned potential player movements for Nava, but these did not impact the immediate match setup. The absence of detailed squad information means the focus remains on the collective performance of the teams rather than individual contributions.
The result of this match will contribute to the early standings of the Liga ASOBAL. With both teams starting with zero points, a victory for Torrelavega would provide a significant boost to their confidence and position in the league. For Nava, avoiding another loss would be crucial in their quest to climb the table from their current 16th-place position.