Butel Skopje vs Eurofarm Pelister: match prediction on 2 October 2026

Eurofarm Pelister are the clear favourites to take all three points here, and the 68% confidence figure reflects a combination of form and historical dominance that leaves little room for doubt.

Butel Skopje have not tasted victory in any of their last five matches, collecting just one point from 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Their goal tally of 140 for and 161 against tells the story of a side struggling at both ends. They have not won a competitive fixture in this period.

Eurofarm Pelister occupy fourth place with 7 points from 4 matches, having secured 3 wins and suffered just 1 defeat. Their last five games produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 158 goals scored against 135 conceded. They beat Struga 33:25 away on 19 September and Multi Esens 38:27 at home on 12 September. The only blemish on that record was a 24:31 home loss to La Rioja in the EHF European League on 30 September.

The head-to-head record is stark. Eurofarm Pelister have won all six encounters between the sides over the past year. The results read 38:28, 25:41, 31:21, 20:29, 35:26 and 22:34. Butel Skopje have not managed a single victory in that span, and the margins have been substantial.

The model expects Eurofarm Pelister to score 32.9 goals and Butel Skopje 26. That differential of nearly seven goals aligns with everything seen in recent form and the historical record. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%, and the expectation is for three or more goals to be scored by the visitors.

This conclusion would not hold if Butel Skopje find a way to contain Eurofarm Pelister's attack more effectively than they have in any of the past six meetings. A defensive performance that limits the visitors to under 30 goals, combined with a clinical edge in front of goal, would upend the expected pattern. That scenario is not supported by recent evidence, but it remains the only realistic path to an upset.

Eurofarm Pelister to win — 68%