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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Dynamo Sungul vs Permskie Medvedi: match prediction on 5 September 2026
Dynamo Sungul
Permskie Medvedi
Prediction for
Win: Permskie Medvedi
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
49%
1
51%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 13:09- Пермские Медведи — 2. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Динамо Сунгул, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Пермские Медведи, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Динамо Сунгул — 2, 1 draws, Пермские Медведи — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dynamo Sungul
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Permskie Medvedi
WWDWW
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 10
2Dynamo Sungul
1Draw
7Permskie Medvedi
- 12 FebPermskie Medvedi — Dynamo Sungul27:26
- 26 Dec 2025Dynamo Sungul — Permskie Medvedi25:29
- 14 Oct 2025Dynamo Sungul — Permskie Medvedi30:31
- 17 Jan 2025Dynamo Sungul — Permskie Medvedi29:26
- 18 Sep 2024Permskie Medvedi — Dynamo Sungul28:30
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 13:09Permskie Medvedi are slight favourites to win at Dynamo Sungul on 5 September, with the model projecting 29.5 goals for the visitors against 29.2 for the hosts. Permskie Medwedi have won three of the six meetings since September 2024 and hold a narrow edge in expected output, but the conclusion rests on Dynamo Sungul failing to capitalise on their recent momentum.
Permskie Medvedi win. The model assigns a 0% probability to a stalemate, and the recent head-to-head record shows only one draw across six encounters. Dynamo Sungul have won four of their last five matches, including victories over Stavropol and UOR No.2 Moscow, while Permskie Medwedi have been less consistent with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five outings.
Permskie Medvedi sit fifth after one match, having lost 30:34 away to CSKA Moskva on 7 May. Dynamo Sungul have not yet played a league game this season and remain on zero points in eighth place. The visitors' first defeat could sharpen their approach, and they have shown they can score heavily — 33:22 and 32:31 wins against Chekhovskiye Medwedi in May suggest offensive capability.
Dynamo Sungul's last five matches produced 158 goals for and 148 against, an average of 31.6 goals scored per game. Their only loss came 36:37 at home to Chekhovskiye Medwedi on 11 April. Permskie Medvedi's tally over the same span was 153 goals for and 148 against, averaging 30.6 goals per match. The model's expectation of 29.5 for the visitors aligns with that output.
The most recent encounter on 12 February 2026 ended 27:26 in Permskie Medvedi's favour at their own ground.
The model's expected goals favour them by 0.3, and their head-to-head record shows they have found a way through Dynamo Sungul more often.
The outcome stops holding if Dynamo Sungul replicate their recent scoring rate. Four wins in five matches with 158 goals scored suggests they can outscore expectations. If they hit 32 or more goals, the model's narrow edge for the visitors disappears. The 0% draw probability also means any stalemate would upend the prediction entirely.