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Elda Prestigio Women vs Gran Canaria Women: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Liga Guerreras Iberdrola Polideportivo Ciudad de Elda "Florentino Ibáñez" Elda Hit Match page
Elda Prestigio Women Gran Canaria Women

Prediction for

Win: Gran Canaria Women

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

46% 1
54% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 19:05

Gran Canaria Women secured a 27–22 victory over Elda Prestigio Women in the Liga Guerreras Iberdrola on 14 October 2026. Gran Canaria moved into the bottom half of the standings, while Elda Prestigio extended their record of not having lost a league match at home in the current campaign.

The visitors led by five goals at the final whistle, improving on their previous away meeting against the host side in March 2026, when they lost 24–16. Elda Prestigio’s 22 goals fell short of their average output of 24.2 goals across their last five contests.

A pre-match prediction from an online service projected a visitor win with 54 per cent confidence, based on a model that estimated 24.2 goals for the away side and 23.6 for the hosts. The actual result saw Gran Canaria score five more goals than the forecast and Elda Prestigio fall two below their predicted output. The model ruled out a draw and a goalless game, both of which happened.

Gran Canaria Women moved up to 11th place with two points from five matches, maintaining an unbeaten record of one win and four draws. They have not lost a league game since the competition began. Elda Prestigio Women remained in 4th place with eight points from five matches, extending their win–draw–loss record to 4–1–0. The two sides have now met eight times in all competitions since 2019, with Gran Canaria Women holding the edge on wins, four to three.

Elda Prestigio Women had won three of their last five matches before facing Gran Canaria Women, scoring 121 goals while conceding 121. Their only loss in that run came away at Bera Bera Women, 24–35, on 3 October.

Gran Canaria Women have won four of the eight previous meetings between the two sides, Elda Prestigio Women three, with one match ending in a 25–25 draw on 21 September 2024. The most recent encounter before 14 October 2026 was a 24–16 home win for Elda Prestigio Women on 21 March 2026. The new result shifted the balance in favour of Gran Canaria Women in this fixture for the first time since their 26–24 victory at home on 8 November 2025.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 19:05
  • Эльда Престижьо — 4. place, 6 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Гран-Канария Женщины — 11. place, 2 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses)
  • Эльда Престижьо, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Гран-Канария Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Эльда Престижьо — 3, 1 draws, Гран-Канария Женщины — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Elda Prestigio Women WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Gran Canaria Women LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 8

3Elda Prestigio Women 1Draw 4Gran Canaria Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+