Champions League
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54%
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Ferencváros
SBS Eger Eszterházy
Prediction for
Win: Ferencváros
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 17:04Ferencváros are the clear favourites to beat SBS Eger Eszterházy on Sunday, and the gap in form makes it a straightforward fixture. The hosts have won three of their last four meetings and the model puts their expected goals at 33.7 to 28.3, which suggests a comfortable victory for the side sitting ninth in the table.
Ferencváros have started the season without defeat, taking two points from their first two matches with one win and one draw. Their last five games across all competitions show a mixed pattern — two wins and three losses — but the two home victories against Dabas and Szigetszentmiklósi KSK demonstrate they can be effective when playing at their own venue.
SBS Eger Eszterházy are struggling to find any momentum. They sit 14th after four matches, having collected zero points from four draws according to the table, though their last five games read as five straight defeats. The margins have been severe: a 24:50 loss to Szeged, a 17:27 defeat at home to Csurgói, and a 28:33 home loss to Dabas in their most recent outing. They have scored 120 goals and conceded 171 across those five matches.
The head-to-head record reinforces the hierarchy. In four meetings over the past three seasons, Ferencváros have won three times while SBS Eger Eszterházy have triumphed once. The most recent encounter ended 22:35 in favour of Ferencváros at the visitors' ground in March 2025. The last time they met at this venue, in October 2024, Ferencváros won 43:31. The model's expected goals of 33.7 for the hosts against 28.3 for the visitors align with that pattern of dominance.
The draw probability is 0%, and both-teams-to-score is also listed at 0%, which suggests the model expects a one-sided affair. That confidence would evaporate if SBS Eger Eszterházy managed to keep the score tight for long stretches and force extra time, but given their recent record of heavy defeats, that scenario looks unlikely.