QMJHL
Quebec Remparts
Shawinigan Cataractes
Prediction for Quebec Remparts — Shawinigan Cataractes
49%
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Skive — SønderjyskE: match prediction
Skive
SønderjyskE
Prediction for
Win: Skive
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
54%
1
46%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 18:08- Скиве — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Сёнерйюске — 11. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Скиве, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Сёнерйюске, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Skive
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
SønderjyskE
LWDLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 18:08Skive to win — form gap too wide to ignore
Skive are taking the points here. The draw probability is listed at 0%, and the recent form split — four wins from five for the hosts against just one victory for the visitors — gives a clear picture of where these sides stand.
Skive sit eighth while SønderjyskE are eleventh, and the difference in their last five games is what matters. The hosts have won four of their past five, scoring 181 goals and conceding 158. SønderjyskE managed only one win, two draws and two losses in the same period, with 163 goals for and 159 against.
Skive are expected to score 32.4 goals and SønderjyskE 30.8. That margin of 1.6 goals is not huge on paper, but it sits alongside a 0% probability for a draw, which suggests a decisive result coming.
Skive lost their opening league match 34-35 away at Kolding, but before that they beat Skanderborg AGF 36-32 in a friendly and Holstebro TTH 34-30 at home. Their away record against Kolding shows they can compete at this level. SønderjyskE's opening game was a 28-32 defeat at home against Aalborg Håndbold, and their last five include two draws and two losses — they have not won since April.
The prediction changes if SønderjyskE find a way to control the tempo and keep the game tight. If they frustrate Skive and push it into extra time, the hosts' attacking edge disappears. Tactics can shift the balance, and the numbers on paper may not reflect that.