Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
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Gummersbach
Eurofarm Pelister
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:45Gummersbach are set to beat Eurofarm Pelister. The hosts need a victory to move above their opponents in the EHF European League standings and they carry more firepower at home, having scored 170 goals in their last five matches. Pelister have struggled for their first European League win, taking only one point from two games, and a draw suits them — but that is the risk, not the outcome.
Gummersbach's last five matches produced three wins and two defeats across all competitions. They beat La Rioja 34:30 away in the European League on 6 October, then lost to Kiel THW 26:29 in the Bundesliga three days later. Before that came a 34:38 home defeat to Wybrzeże Gdańsk, a 38:30 win over Bergischer HC, and a 38:28 victory away at Dessauer-Rosslauer HV in the DHB Pokal. The attacking output is clear — 170 goals in five games averages 34 per match.
Pelister have been more consistent. Three wins, one draw, one loss gives them 10 points from five matches, with 160 goals scored and 130 conceded. They won 36:23 at home against Kumanovo HC on 9 October, drew 31:31 away at Wybrzeże Gdańsk in the European League on 6 October, then beat Butel Skopje 34:21 away on 2 October. Their defensive record is tighter than Gummersbach's — 130 goals conceded compared to 155 — but they have yet to win in the European League, losing 24:31 to La Rioja at home on 30 September.
The table tells the story. Gummersbach sit third with 2 points from 2 matches, while Pelister are fourth with 1 point. Gummersbach need a win to move ahead. Pelister face pressure to secure their first European League victory after dropping points in both outings. Both sides have played one European League fixture and one domestic match in the last week, so fatigue is not a factor either way.
The prediction stops holding if the match ends in a draw. Pelister have the defensive structure to see out a stalemate and the motivation to take something from this encounter. A 1-point result would leave them still behind on head-to-head fairness but would relieve the immediate pressure. Gummersbach's attacking intent could leave them exposed if Pelister capitalise on transitions, especially given the visitors' better defensive record.