Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Prediction for
Win: Handball Warszawa Women
72%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05Handball Warszawa Women are the clear favourites at home against Marcovia Women. The model expects 42.1 goals for the hosts and 20.1 for the visitors, and head-to-head history shows Warsaw have won both previous meetings, including a 39:30 result at home in April 2023.
Recent form cuts both ways. Marcovia Women sit higher in the table at 4th with 9 points from 4 games, having won 3 and drawn 1 without losing. Their last 5 outings show 3 wins and 2 losses, with 150 goals scored and 144 conceded. Warszawa, meanwhile, have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches—2 wins and 3 losses—scoring 136 goals while conceding 138.
The table positions suggest Marcovia Women are the stronger side on paper. They occupy 4th place with 9 points after 4 matches, while Warszawa are 6th with 6 points from 5 games. Yet the head-to-head record tells a different story: two matches played, two victories for Handball Warszawa, none for Marcovia. The most recent encounter ended 39:30 in Warsaw's favour.
The model's expected goals figures point to a comfortable home win. 42.1 for Handball Warszawa and 20.1 for Marcovia Women indicate the hosts should score well above their recent average of 27.2 goals per match, while the visitors are expected to fall short of their 30 goals-per-game rate.
The hosts have conceded in 3 of their last 5 games, and a low-scoring affair where Marcovia Women keep it tight would undermine the model's expectation of a high-margin victory.
Confidence: 70%