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Handball Warszawa Women vs Marcovia Women: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Central League Women Hala Sportowa Zespołu Szkół Gorzów Wielkopolski Pending Match page
Handball Warszawa Women Marcovia Women

Prediction for

Win: Handball Warszawa Women

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

72% 1
28% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05

Handball Warszawa Women are the clear favourites at home against Marcovia Women. The model expects 42.1 goals for the hosts and 20.1 for the visitors, and head-to-head history shows Warsaw have won both previous meetings, including a 39:30 result at home in April 2023.

Recent form cuts both ways. Marcovia Women sit higher in the table at 4th with 9 points from 4 games, having won 3 and drawn 1 without losing. Their last 5 outings show 3 wins and 2 losses, with 150 goals scored and 144 conceded. Warszawa, meanwhile, have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches—2 wins and 3 losses—scoring 136 goals while conceding 138.

The table positions suggest Marcovia Women are the stronger side on paper. They occupy 4th place with 9 points after 4 matches, while Warszawa are 6th with 6 points from 5 games. Yet the head-to-head record tells a different story: two matches played, two victories for Handball Warszawa, none for Marcovia. The most recent encounter ended 39:30 in Warsaw's favour.

The model's expected goals figures point to a comfortable home win. 42.1 for Handball Warszawa and 20.1 for Marcovia Women indicate the hosts should score well above their recent average of 27.2 goals per match, while the visitors are expected to fall short of their 30 goals-per-game rate.

The hosts have conceded in 3 of their last 5 games, and a low-scoring affair where Marcovia Women keep it tight would undermine the model's expectation of a high-margin victory.

Confidence: 70%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05
  • Хандбол Варшава Женщины — 6. place, 6 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Марковия — 4. place, 9 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Хандбол Варшава Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Марковия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Хандбол Варшава Женщины — 2, Марковия — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Handball Warszawa Women WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Marcovia Women LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 2

2Handball Warszawa Women 0Draw 0Marcovia Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+