Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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HC Kriens-Luzern vs Wacker Thun: match prediction on 2 September 2026
HC Kriens-Luzern
Wacker Thun
Prediction for
Win: HC Kriens-Luzern
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
62%
1
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:22- ГК Криенс-Люцерн — 4. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Ваккер Тун — 6. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- ГК Криенс-Люцерн, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Ваккер Тун, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, ГК Криенс-Люцерн — 9, 2 draws, Ваккер Тун — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
HC Kriens-Luzern
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Wacker Thun
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 13
9HC Kriens-Luzern
2Draw
2Wacker Thun
- 25 MarWacker Thun — HC Kriens-Luzern31:43
- 15 Nov 2025HC Kriens-Luzern — Wacker Thun37:27
- 3 Sep 2025Wacker Thun — HC Kriens-Luzern30:34
- 5 Apr 2025HC Kriens-Luzern — Wacker Thun33:32
- 1 Mar 2025HC Kriens-Luzern — Wacker Thun32:33
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:22HC Kriens-Luzern are favored to win. The model puts their expected goals at 34.5 against 29.5 for Wacker Thun, and the historical record between these sides shows nine wins to two in thirteen meetings.
HC Kriens-Luzern are flying. Five straight wins, 182 goals scored and 144 conceded across that run. Their most recent outing was a 34:26 victory away to St. Gallen on 30 August. They sit fourth in the NLA table after one match, carrying those two points from a single win.
Wacker Thun are fighting to find their feet. One win and four defeats in their last five games, with 165 goals scored and 173 conceded — a negative run. They sit sixth after two matches, also on two points, but that comes with a draw added to the ledger. Their last outing was a 35:42 loss away to Kadetten Schaffhausen on 29 August.
The record between these clubs is lopsided. HC Kriens-Luzern have won nine of thirteen meetings, with two draws and two victories for Wacker Thun. The most recent encounter was on 25 March 2026, when Wacker Thun lost 31:43 at home. HC Kriens-Luzern have also won four of the five NLA meetings since November 2025, with only one defeat coming in the Swiss Cup on 1 March 2025.
Table standings
HC Kriens-Luzern occupy fourth place with two points from one match. Wacker Thun are sixth with two points from two matches. The gap in experience matters — the visitors have played twice this season while the hosts have played once, and the hosts' single result was a victory.
Model projection
The model expects HC Kriens-Luzern to score 34.5 goals and Wacker Thun 29.5. A 0% draw probability sits behind that figure, and the model gives 0% to both teams scoring and 0% to three or more goals — figures that reflect the expected margin.
A draw would overturn this prediction, and given how the model calculates, that is the only scenario where the home side does not win. The visitors would need to outperform their recent form significantly — they have lost four of five — and the hosts would have to underdeliver on their five-match winning streak.