Volleyligaen Women
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70%
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HC Saratov
Prediction for
Win: UOR No.2 Moscow
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05UOR No.2 Moscow win away at HC Saratov
UOR No.2 Moscow take all three points when they visit Saratov on 13 October. The visitors have not lost a game all season, while the hosts have failed to win in seven matches across all competitions. Two wins from two meetings this season leave the visitors in control.
The table tells the story plainly. UOR No.2 Moscow sit sixth with eight points from seven games, four victories and three draws. HC Saratov languish in tenth with just two points, half a winless run of five draws and two defeats. The gap between them is six points, and neither side has shown any sign of closing it.
Recent form makes the difference clear. UOR No.2 Moscow have won four of their last five matches, losing only to CSKA Moskva away from home 25-37. HC Saratov have managed no wins in that same span, drawing twice and losing three times, including a 26-31 defeat at CSKA on 6 October. The visitors scored 147 goals in those five matches while conceding 151. The hosts managed 139 goals for and 156 against.
Head-to-head history adds weight to the prediction. UOR No.2 Moscow won both encounters this season, 35-30 in Saratov on 27 March and 43-39 at home on 16 November. The visitors have never lost to the hosts in recent years, and the pattern shows no sign of breaking.
The model expects 30.4 goals for HC Saratov and 30.5 for UOR No.2 Moscow, with a draw probability of zero percent. The conclusion stops being valid if HC Saratov find a way to score first and defend deep, or if UOR No.2 Moscow lose their attacking edge in the opening period.
The visitors will not need to dominate possession to take the points. They have shown they can grind out results, as seen in their 29-28 home win over Dynamo Sungul on 7 October and the 28-27 victory away at Stavropol on 30 September. HC Saratov have not won anywhere this season, not at home and not on the road. Their last points came in two draws, both at 27-27 and 24-24 respectively, and those were against lower-ranked opposition. The visitors carry momentum into Saratov, and the hosts carry nothing but a winless record.
Two encounters in the past year have produced an average of 36.5 goals per game, with UOR No.2 Moscow winning both. The model's expectation of a near-even scoreline does not suggest a thriller, but rather a tight contest that the visitors will edge. HC Saratov have not scored more than 34 goals in any of their last five matches, while UOR No.2 Moscow have exceeded 30 in four of those five. The visitors will likely control the tempo and take the points without needing a large margin.