HC Strakonice vs Lovosice: match prediction on 25 September 2026

HC Strakonice will lose to Lovosice. The visitors have won every one of the six recorded meetings between these sides, and the model puts Lovosice at 33.5 expected goals against 29.8 for the hosts.

Strakonice sit 12th after three matches without a victory. They have drawn all three games and accumulated zero points. Lovosice occupy 6th place with three points from one win, one draw and one loss. Strakonice have not beaten Lovosice in six attempts, the last of which ended 28:37 on 7 February 2026.

The recent form of both sides shows similar results in their last five outings. Strakonice have two wins and three losses, scoring 157 goals and conceding 166. Lovosice have two wins, one draw and two losses, with 160 goals for and 153 against.

Strakonice's home record offers little comfort. They lost 32:35 to Karvina on 19 September and 27:32 to DHC Plzen earlier in the month. They have won only twice in five games, both against HAOLK. Lovosice have also struggled recently, losing 26:39 to HC Dukla Praha at home on 19 September, but they drew 29:29 away at DHC Plzen and won 36:26 against Jicin at home.

The model expects Lovosice to outscore Strakonice by roughly four goals. A 30:34 or 31:35 result fits the historical pattern. The model puts the draw probability at 0%, which aligns with the head-to-head record. The Most likely scenario remains a 31:35 result.

Strakonice could narrow the margin if they contain Lovosice's attack. Lovosice have conceded 153 goals in five matches, averaging 30.6 per game. If Strakonice can hold them below that threshold and exploit their own scoring opportunities, the margin shrinks. A draw would suit the visitors given how they manage games, and that remains the main threat to the prediction.