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IFK Kungälv Women — Ystads IF Women: match prediction
IFK Kungälv Women
Ystads IF Women
Prediction for
Win: Ystads IF Women
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
40%
1
60%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:03- ИФК Кунгэльв Женщины — 2. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Юстадс ИФ (жен.) — 2. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- ИФК Кунгэльв Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Юстадс ИФ (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
IFK Kungälv Women
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Ystads IF Women
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 23:03Ystads IF Women win at 60% confidence. The model expects 27.7 goals for the visitors against 24.2 for IFK Kungälv, and that gap is the foundation of the prediction.
Both sides sit second in the Swedish Cup Women table after three matches. IFK Kungälv leads with four points from two wins and a draw. Ystads IF sits on three points from one victory, one draw and one defeat.
The recent cup results cut both ways. On 22 August each side lost at home to different opponents — IFK Kungälv 21:23 to Kroppskultur Dam, Ystads IF 24:26 to Karlskrona HF. The losses came after strong away performances against the same opponents on 19 August, when Ystads won 34:26 and IFK Kungälv won 30:19.
The five-match sample shows Ystads IF with more goals. They have scored 151 and conceded 125, averaging 30.2 goals per game. IFK Kungälv have scored 120 and conceded 120, averaging 24.0 goals per game.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side.
The model's 0% probability for a draw and 0% for both teams to score reads as an expectation of a decisive result with a clear scoring pattern. The 3+ goals probability at 0% suggests the model sees a specific scoreline rather than a high-scoring affair. The service's pick of Ystads IF Women win follows from that expectation.
The conclusion holds while Ystads IF maintain their attacking output. If they fail to score at least 25 goals, or if IFK Kungälv keeps them under 27, the outcome changes. The model's confidence in 27.7 for Ystads assumes no major defensive disruptions.