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Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Koka Women vs Podravka Women Cro: match prediction on 6 October 2026
Koka Women
Podravka Women Cro
Prediction for
Win: Podravka Women Cro
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
29%
1
71%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 4 Oct, 17:45- Кока (женская) — 5. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Подавка Женщины Кро — 3. place, 6 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Кока (женская), last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Подавка Женщины Кро, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Кока (женская) — 0, Подавка Женщины Кро — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Koka Women
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Podravka Women Cro
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 1
0Koka Women
0Draw
1Podravka Women Cro
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Oct, 17:45Podravka Women Cro to win. The model puts their expected goals at 38.7 against Koka Women's 17.2, and the only previous meeting between these sides produced a 36-14 victory for Podravka — a 22-goal margin that sets the benchmark. Confidence: 85%.
Standings and momentum
Podravka Women Cro sit third in the 1. HRL Women table with 6 points from 3 matches, having won all three. Koka Women occupy fifth place with 4 points from 3 matches — 2 wins and 1 draw. The two-point gap looks wider than it is given the sample size, but Podravka's perfect record carries weight.
Recent form
Koka Women have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 156 goals and conceding 141. Podravka Women Cro have won 3 and lost 2 in the same span, with 162 goals for and 143 against. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring affairs, but Podravka's away record includes victories over HSG Blomberg-Lippe Women (33-31) and ŽRK Zrinski Women (35-20).
Head-to-head
The sole recorded meeting came on 17.03.2026, when Koka Women hosted Podravka Women Cro and lost 14-36. That result is not an outlier — Podravka have consistently outscored opponents in the 30-goal range across their recent matches, including a 46-26 home victory over Sinj Women.
Model expectations
The model assigns Podravka Women Cro 38.7 expected goals and Koka Women 17.2. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%. Those figures point to a one-sided affair, though handball can produce unexpected swings.
When the prediction fails
A draw suits neither side given their positions, but if Koka Women manage to contain Podravka's attack and exploit counter-attacks — something they showed against Bjelovar Women with a 31-31 away draw — the model's confidence erodes. Podravka's two losses in their last 5 matches came against European opposition (Metz Women 24-35, Odense Women 24-31), suggesting they can be vulnerable against higher-calibre opponents. If Koka Women replicate that level of resistance, the outcome shifts.