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Lemgo vs Erlangen: match prediction on 20 September 2026
Lemgo
Erlangen
Prediction for
Win: Lemgo
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 15:38- Лемго — 9. place, 4 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Эрланген — 14. place, 3 points after 4 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
- Лемго, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Эрланген, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Лемго — 6, 1 draws, Эрланген — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lemgo
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Erlangen
LDLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 8
6Lemgo
1Draw
1Erlangen
- 15 FebLemgo — Erlangen27:21
- 16 Nov 2025Erlangen — Lemgo24:25
- 6 Mar 2025Lemgo — Erlangen30:24
- 22 Dec 2024Erlangen — Lemgo19:28
- 8 Feb 2024Erlangen — Lemgo26:25
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 15:38Match Report: Lemgo vs Erlangen
Lemgo defeated Erlangen in the Handball-Bundesliga fixture that took place on 20 September 2026. The match, which began at 14:30 UTC, concluded with a victory for the host side. Erlangen, who sat 13th in the standings with three points from four matches, were unable to secure a result against the ninth-placed Lemgo, who had accumulated four points from their opening four games.
Historical data indicates Lemgo's dominance in this fixture. In the six meetings recorded since September 2023, Lemgo won four times while Erlangen claimed two victories. The most recent meeting, played on 15 February 2026, saw Lemgo secure a 27:21 win. Erlangen's last victory in this specific head-to-head occurred on 8 February 2024, when they beat Lemgo 26:25 at home.
Both sides arrived at the match in mixed form. Lemgo's last five matches showed three wins and two losses, with a goal tally of 163 for and 160 against. Erlangen had recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their previous five outings, scoring 157 goals and conceding 152. Erlangen's most recent result was a 29:28 home win against Bergischer HC on 13 September 2026.
Statistical models predicted a Lemgo score of 29.4 goals and an Erlangen score of 27.1, with a calculated 0% probability for a draw. No specific match statistics or individual player performances were available in the provided data to detail how the game unfolded minute by minute. The result left Lemgo unbeaten in the league and maintained Erlangen's position in the lower half of the table.