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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Lemgo vs Flensburg-Handewitt: match prediction on 10 September 2026
Lemgo
Flensburg-Handewitt
Prediction for
Win: Lemgo
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 18:10- Лемго — 6. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Фленсбург-Хандевитт — 2. place, 6 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Лемго, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Фленсбург-Хандевитт, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Лемго — 3, 1 draws, Фленсбург-Хандевитт — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lemgo
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Flensburg-Handewitt
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 11
4Lemgo
1Draw
6Flensburg-Handewitt
- 15 AugLemgo — Flensburg-Handewitt32:34
- 9 MayFlensburg-Handewitt — Lemgo38:30
- 4 Dec 2025Lemgo — Flensburg-Handewitt34:33
- 29 Mar 2025Lemgo — Flensburg-Handewitt34:29
- 23 Nov 2024Flensburg-Handewitt — Lemgo36:27
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 18:10Lemgo win (56%)
Lemgo take on Flensburg-Handewitt at home on 10 September 2026, and the model gives the hosts the edge despite Flensburg's perfect start to the Bundesliga campaign. The expected goals figure shows Lemgo at 33.2 and Flensburg at 30.4 — a narrow margin that reflects the home advantage and Lemgo's stronger attacking output at their own arena.
Flensburg-Handewitt have won all three of their league matches so far, sitting top with six points from three games. Their last five outings show the same pattern: five victories, no draws, no defeats, scoring 172 goals while conceding 157. They beat Erlangen 38:33 at home on 5 September and won away at Bergischer HC 34:29 two days later.
Lemgo sit sixth with four points after three matches, having won twice and drawn once. Their last five games produced three wins and two losses, with 165 goals scored and 155 conceded. They beat SG BBM Bietigheim 36:29 away on 6 September and HSG Wetzlar 31:27 at home on 3 September. The two defeats came against Kiel THW and Flensburg-Handewitt in a friendly — both stronger opposition.
The head-to-head record over the past few years shows Flensburg-Handewitt with six wins, Lemgo with three, and one draw across ten meetings. The most recent league encounter was on 9 May 2026, when Flensburg won 38:30 at home. Before that, Lemgo won 34:33 at home on 4 December 2025 and 34:29 at home on 29 March 2025. The friendly on 15 August 2026 ended 34:32 to Flensburg at Lemgo's venue.
The draw probability sits at 0%, and both teams to score is also marked at 0% — figures that point to a decisive result rather than a cagey contest. A margin of three or more goals is priced at 0%, which in handball terms means a comfortable margin is likely for whichever side the model favours.
A draw would suit Flensburg-Handewitt given their tendency to control the tempo and run the clock down in tight games. That is the main threat to the prediction — if the hosts cannot break through early, the visitors can manage the game and force extra time, where their experience would tell.