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Porto
ABC Braga
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72%
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LUGI HF vs IFK Kristianstad: match prediction on 4 September 2026
LUGI HF
IFK Kristianstad
Prediction for
Win: IFK Kristianstad
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
5%
1
95%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:09- ИКФ Кристианстад — 1. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Луги, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- ИКФ Кристианстад, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Луги — 0, ИКФ Кристианстад — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
LUGI HF
WDWLL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
IFK Kristianstad
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 5
0LUGI HF
0Draw
5IFK Kristianstad
- 2 SepIFK Kristianstad — LUGI HF42:37
- 22 Dec 2023IFK Kristianstad — LUGI HF31:28
- 20 Oct 2023LUGI HF — IFK Kristianstad28:33
- 3 Dec 2022IFK Kristianstad — LUGI HF36:22
- 28 Nov 2022LUGI HF — IFK Kristianstad26:33
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 18:09IFK Kristianstad advance to the next round of the Swedish Cup. The visitors won the first leg 42:37 on 2 September and sit on top of the cup table with 4 points from 3 matches. LUGI HF face a 5-goal deficit with no path to extra time available.
The first leg at Lunds sporthall ended 42:37 to IFK Kristianstad. LUGI HF would need to overturn that margin in a single match with no second chance. Handball fixtures of this type do not go to extra time on aggregate — the winner is decided by the two legs combined. That means LUGI HF must win by at least 6 goals while keeping IFK Kristianstad scoreless.
IFK Kristianstad have not lost in 5 matches this season. Their record shows 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats, with 179 goals scored and 158 conceded. They beat LUGI HF 42:37 in the opening cup fixture, then beat IFK Ystads 35:29 at home and 33:26 away, drew 28:28 with Karlskrona HF in a friendly, and won 41:38 away at HK Malmö.
LUGI HF's recent results are less coherent. In their last 5 matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, accumulating 7 points with 158 goals scored and 157 conceded. The losses came against IFK Kristianstad 37:42 away and Vasteras Irsta HF 23:26 away. The wins were 27:25 at home against Lund and 35:28 at home against Västerås Irsta HF. The draw was 36:36 away to Lund.
The head-to-head record offers no comfort to the home side. In four matches over the past years, LUGI HF have won zero and IFK Kristianstad have won four. IFK Kristianstad have won every encounter, including two at Lunds sporthall. The most recent was the first leg of this tie.
IFK Kristianstad lead the cup standings at 1st place with 4 points from 3 matches — 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses. The visitors control their own destiny and the home side must achieve something that has not happened in four meetings.