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MK Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Le Zion: match prediction on 16 October 2026
MK Beer Sheva
Hapoel Le Zion
Prediction for
Win: Hapoel Le Zion
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
29%
1
71%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 12:05- Бейтар Беэр-Шева — 11. place, 2 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
- Хапоэль Ле-Цион — 4. place, 6 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Бейтар Беэр-Шева, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Хапоэль Ле-Цион, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Бейтар Беэр-Шева — 1, Хапоэль Ле-Цион — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
MK Beer Sheva
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Hapoel Le Zion
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 3
1MK Beer Sheva
0Draw
2Hapoel Le Zion
- 12 Dec 2025Hapoel Le Zion — MK Beer Sheva39:31
- 19 Sep 2025MK Beer Sheva — Hapoel Le Zion30:48
- 27 Sep 2024MK Beer Sheva — Hapoel Le Zion36:31
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 12:05League Context
The visitors pulled away from the hosts. Hapoel Le Zion sits in fourth place with six points after four matches, having secured three wins and one draw. MK Beer Sheva remains in twelfth place with two points from their opening four games, comprising one victory and three draws.
Form Analysis
The visitors arrived in better recent form than the home side. Over their last five matches, Hapoel Le Zion recorded three wins and two losses, scoring 171 goals while conceding 157. MK Beer Sheva suffered four defeats in their previous five encounters, managing only one win against Maccabi Avishai Motzkin, while their goal difference stood at 134 for and 191 against.
Historical Record
Hapoel Le Zion won two of three meetings. In the three meetings recorded, they claimed two victories. Their most recent clash occurred on 12 December 2025, when they won 39-31 at home. MK Beer Sheva's sole win came on 27 September 2024 with a 36-31 win.
Statistical Expectation
The model predicted a blowout for the visitors. The projection estimated Hapoel Le Zion would score 38.2 goals compared to MK Beer Sheva's 29.8. The model assigned a 0% probability to a draw, but did not view anything as decisive from the outset.