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Piotrcovia Women vs Radom Women: match prediction on 13 September 2026

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Piotrcovia Women Radom Women

Prediction for

Win: Piotrcovia Women

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

95% 1
5% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 14:18

Piotrcovia Women to win. The model expects 50.3 goals for the hosts against 17.1 for Radom, a gap that reflects the opening-round results: Piotrcovia beat Gniezno 25:21 away while Radom drew their first match. That disparity in output carries into the prediction.

The hosts' recent record looks shaky on paper. In their last five games they won once and lost four times, scoring 132 goals while conceding 157. The only victory came on 05.09.2026 when they took a 25:21 win at Gniezno. The other four results were defeats: 27:37 at home to Zagłębie, 29:35 away to Zagłębie in the Polish Cup, 20:28 at home to MKS Lublin, and 31:36 away to Gniezno again. Despite that pattern, they started the Superliga campaign with a win.

Radom have shown more consistency over the longer term. Their last five matches produced three wins and two losses, with 155 goals scored and 140 conceded. Before that they won 41:22 against Pietrowice Wielkie, lost 24:25 to Zory, won 40:35 against Olkusz, and beat Kielce 27:22 away. The draw in their first league game suggests they can compete, but the model does not expect them to match Piotrcovia's output.

In the standings after one match each, Piotrcovia sit fifth with three points from a single win. Radom are eighth with one point from a draw. The gap between them is two points, but the model's expectation of 50.3 goals for the hosts versus 17.1 for the visitors goes well beyond what the table shows. The draw probability is listed as 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%. Those figures point to a one-sided outcome.

The conclusion stops holding if Radom find a way to control the tempo and limit shots. The model's figures are computed from goals scored and conceded in previous matches and do not account for tactical adjustments or turnovers. A draw would suit the visitors given how they tend to run the clock down, and that remains the main threat to the prediction.

Outcome: Piotrcovia Women win

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 14:18
  • Пьотровича — 6. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Радом (жен.) — 9. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Пьотровича, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Радом (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Piotrcovia Women LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Radom Women WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+