Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
RK Zagreb vs PSG: match prediction on 9 September 2026
RK Zagreb
PSG
Prediction for
Win: PSG
74%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
26%
1
74%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03- РК Загреб, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- ПСЖ, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, РК Загреб — 1, ПСЖ — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
RK Zagreb
LWDDW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
PSG
WWWWD
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 4
1RK Zagreb
0Draw
3PSG
- 18 FebRK Zagreb — PSG24:35
- 9 Oct 2025PSG — RK Zagreb35:32
- 29 Feb 2024RK Zagreb — PSG28:26
- 21 Sep 2023PSG — RK Zagreb35:31
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03PSG to win. The visitors have won three of four Champions League meetings between these sides and arrive with five straight victories, while the model projects a 35.5-goal output for them against 24.9 for the hosts.
PSG's recent form is unblemished — five wins from five, including a 32:29 victory over Chambéry Savoie in the Starligue on 4 September. They have not dropped a point since the start of August. RK Zagreb, by contrast, have drawn two of their last five matches, including a 30:30 stalemate with Ohrid and a 24:24 draw against Trimo Trebnje in friendlies. The gap in consistency is visible in the goal difference: PSG have scored 166 and conceded 140, while Zagreb have managed 133 for and 130 against.
The head-to-head record reinforces the assessment. In the last four Champions League encounters PSG have won three, including a 35:32 win at home in October 2025. The only Zagreb success came in February 2024, a 28:26 home win, both decisive.
The model expects PSG to score 35.5 goals and Zagreb 24.9. That differential suggests a comfortable margin rather than a tight contest. The draw probability sits at negligible, which aligns with the visitors' current trajectory and the historical pattern of one-sided results between these sides.
The visitors have been dominant in their last five matches, but they are playing in Zagreb for the first time in this fixture cycle. If Zagreb can impose themselves at home and reduce PSG's attacking fluency, the model's projection becomes less reliable.
Outcome: PSG Win