Slovenj Gradec vs Skofljica: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Slovenj Gradec to win. The hosts have taken all four meetings between the sides and the model expects them to edge the contest 29.7 to 27. That edge holds only if Skofljica do not overturn the historical pattern.

Slovenj Gradec's recent form offers little comfort. They have lost four of their last five matches, scoring 156 goals while conceding 178. Their solitary victory came at home against Loka on 30 April, a 36:34 result. Since then they have dropped points in every fixture — a 24:37 home defeat to Trimo Trebnje on 31 May, a 34:36 away loss to the same side three days later, a 35:37 defeat at Celje on 23 May, and a 27:34 friendly loss to Zagreb on 5 August.

Skofljica have been marginally steadier. Two wins, one draw, two defeats across five games — seven points on the board. They opened their account with a 40:34 away win at RD Ribnica on 23 May, followed by a 31:28 home victory over Ivanična Gorica on 9 May. A 31:31 draw at home to Radovljica on 25 April was followed by defeats to Ribnica away and Ivanična Gorica at home. Their goal tally of 161 for and 158 against shows a side that scores more than it concedes.

The head-to-head record

Four meetings, four wins for Slovenj Gradec. Before that, Slovenj Gradec won 39:33 at home on 6 September 2025, and 30:23 at home on 23 September 2023. The visitors have not found a way past them in any of those fixtures. The pattern does not suggest a sudden reversal is imminent.

The model expects Slovenj Gradec to score 29.7 goals and Skofljica 27. The probability of a draw sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals — in either direction — at 0%. Those figures point to a narrow victory for the hosts, not a high-scoring affair. The margin is small, but it is where the model places its weight.

A win for Skofljica would break the streak. Skofljica would need to do what they've never done before — a victory over Slovenj Gradec.