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Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Steaua Bucuresti vs Vaslui: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Steaua Bucuresti
Vaslui
Prediction for
Win: Steaua Bucuresti
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
52%
1
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 11:39- Стяуа Бухарест — 10. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Васлуй — 7. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Стяуа Бухарест, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Васлуй, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Стяуа Бухарест — 1, 3 draws, Васлуй — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Steaua Bucuresti
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Vaslui
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 7
2Steaua Bucuresti
3Draw
2Vaslui
- 17 May 2025Vaslui — Steaua Bucuresti28:25
- 6 Dec 2024Steaua Bucuresti — Vaslui28:28
- 2 Jun 2024Steaua Bucuresti — Vaslui31:31
- 3 Feb 2024Vaslui — Steaua Bucuresti31:28
- 2 Sep 2023Steaua Bucuresti — Vaslui33:33
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 11:39Steaua București win at 52% confidence is the call. The home side has drawn twice already this season and shows no weakness at their own venue, while the model puts them marginally ahead on expected goals — 30.3 to 30.1 — a narrow edge that matters when both sides are likely to score.
Steaua sit 10th with zero points from two matches, but that record masks something steadier: two draws and no defeats. They have not lost at home this season, and their recent form shows a side that can grind results even when not at its best. The last five games produced one win and four losses, but two of those defeats came away — at Dinamo București 23:30 and against CSM București 29:35. At home they beat CSM Făgăraș 37:36 and drew with Vaslui 28:28 in December 2024. That home record is the foundation.
Vaslui occupy 7th place with two points from two matches — one win, one draw. Their last five games show two victories and three defeats, but the away results are telling. They lost 24:27 to CSU Suceava on the road and 24:31 to CSM București in a friendly. Only their home win against CSM Constanța 24:23 and the 41:33 victory over Sighisoara stand out. The visitors have not been convincing when travelling.
Six meetings between these sides have produced three draws, two Vaslui wins and one Steaua victory. The most recent encounter ended 28:25 to Vaslui in May 2025, but before that Steaua drew 28:28 in December 2024 and 31:31 in June 2024. Draws are the pattern here, but Steaua's home advantage shifts the balance — and the model does not see another draw.
This conclusion stops holding if Vaslui find an answer to Steaua's home solidity. A draw suits the visitors given how they have managed away games — sitting deep and taking points when available. If Vaslui do that and Steaua cannot break them down, the prediction fails. The model expects 30.3 expected goals for Steaua and 30.1 for Vaslui, but those figures assume both sides play to their recent standards. A shift in either direction changes everything.