Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sydhavsoerne vs Tonder: match prediction on 13 September 2026
Sydhavsoerne
Tonder
Prediction for
Win: Tonder
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
56%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 14:18- Сюдхавсёрне — 1. place, 4 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Тённер — 10. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Сюдхавсёрне, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Тённер, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Сюдхавсёрне — 5, Тённер — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sydhavsoerne
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Tonder
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 8
6Sydhavsoerne
0Draw
2Tonder
- 25 Nov 2025Tonder — Sydhavsoerne33:37
- 20 Sep 2025Sydhavsoerne — Tonder26:24
- 15 Dec 2024Tonder — Sydhavsoerne31:23
- 7 Sep 2024Sydhavsoerne — Tonder27:24
- 3 Mar 2024Tonder — Sydhavsoerne24:27
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 14:18Sydhavsoerne are the clear favourites against Tonder on Saturday. The model expects a tight contest, but the balance of evidence points to a home victory.
Current form
Sydhavsoerne have been impressive in their opening fixtures. They beat Odder 40:28 at home and took a 29:26 win away at Koge. Their last five matches show four victories and one defeat, with 167 goals scored and 139 conceded. Tonder have been more inconsistent. They won 32:21 at home against Stoholm but lost 30:33 away at Grindsted.
Head-to-head record
The history between these clubs does not favour Tonder. The most recent encounter ended 37:33 to Sydhavsoerne in November 2025. They also won 26:24 at home in September 2025.
League position
Sydhavsoerne occupy 2nd place with 4 points from two matches. Tonder sit 9th with just 2 points from their opening two games.
What the model says
The model expects Sydhavsoerne to score 28.4 goals and Tonder 30.7. Those figures suggest a close contest, but the 0% draw probability and 0% both-teams-to-score probability indicate the model does not anticipate a balanced outcome. The most likely scoreline is 28:27.
When the prediction fails
A Sydhavsoerne victory stops being the logical conclusion if they lose their goalkeeper to injury before kick-off. Without their first-choice keeper, the home side's defensive stability could collapse, and Tonder's higher expected goals total would then carry more weight.
Confidence: 65%