Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
Read more
Tatran Presov vs HK Košice: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Tatran Presov
HK Košice
Prediction for
Win: Tatran Presov
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
74%
1
26%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 17:04- Татран Прешов — 3. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- ХК Кошице — 8. place, 2 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Татран Прешов, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- ХК Кошице, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Татран Прешов — 12, ХК Кошице — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tatran Presov
DWWLW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
HK Košice
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 16
16Tatran Presov
0Draw
0HK Košice
- 27 MarHK Košice — Tatran Presov30:37
- 17 Dec 2025HK Košice — Tatran Presov28:37
- 12 Apr 2025Tatran Presov — HK Košice43:32
- 19 Mar 2025HK Košice — Tatran Presov27:38
- 1 Dec 2024HK Košice — Tatran Presov27:35
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 17:04Tatran Presov are heavy favourites to win on Saturday, and the case for them is built on a record that borders on the remarkable. They have won every one of the last 12 meetings with HK Košice, a run of dominance that stretches across multiple seasons and venues. The model puts their expected goals at 36.6 to Košice's 25.7, and the draw probability is listed at 0%. That conclusion changes if Košice can replicate the resilience they showed in their unbeaten start to the season, where they drew twice and lost nothing.
The table tells the same story. Tatran Presov sit in 2nd place after 3 matches, with 4 points from 2 wins and 1 draw. HK Košice are in 9th place with 2 points from 1 win and 2 draws. Both sides have gone unbeaten so far, but Tatran's win rate gives them a clear advantage in the standings. The gap between them is 2 points after an identical number of games played.
Recent form reinforces the picture. Tatran have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 187 goals and conceding 155. Their most recent result was a 47-30 home victory over Zahoraci. Košice have managed 2 wins and 3 losses in the same span, with 145 goals scored and 140 conceded. Their last outing ended in a 28-31 home defeat to Povazska Bystrica.
The head-to-head record is the heaviest weight in the balance. All 6 matches listed in the data have gone to Tatran, with scores ranging from 36-20 to 43-32. The most recent meeting on 27 March 2026 saw Košice lose 30-37 at home. The previous home game for Košice on 17 December 2025 ended 28-37. Tatran have not just won; they have controlled these fixtures from start to finish. There is no sign of that changing.
The model expects Tatran to score 36.6 goals and Košice 25.7, with a 0% chance of a draw and 0% that both teams score. Those figures feel extreme, but they follow from the data. This outcome changes if Košice can hold their shape defensively and find a way to capitalise on any early mistakes, but that would require a performance they have not shown in these meetings before.