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70%
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Tertnes Håndball Elite Women vs Larvik HK Women: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Tertnes Håndball Elite Women
Larvik HK Women
Prediction for
Win: Larvik HK Women
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
56%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:25- Тертнес Хандбол Элит Вимен — 4. place, 10 points after 6 games (5 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Ларвик ХК Женщины — 1. place, 12 points after 6 games (6 wins, 0 losses)
- Тертнес Хандбол Элит Вимен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Ларвик ХК Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Тертнес Хандбол Элит Вимен — 4, Ларвик ХК Женщины — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tertnes Håndball Elite Women
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Larvik HK Women
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 11
5Tertnes Håndball Elite Women
0Draw
6Larvik HK Women
- 3 MayTertnes Håndball Elite Women — Larvik HK Women27:36
- 29 AprLarvik HK Women — Tertnes Håndball Elite Women30:25
- 3 FebTertnes Håndball Elite Women — Larvik HK Women31:29
- 18 Feb 2025Tertnes Håndball Elite Women — Larvik HK Women34:39
- 20 Oct 2024Larvik HK Women — Tertnes Håndball Elite Women28:29
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:25Larvik HK Women are the side to back against Tertnes Håndball Elite Women on Thursday evening. The visitors lead the REMA 1000-ligaen with a flawless six wins from six matches and have won four of the last six meetings between these sides. The model expects Larvik to edge the match with 31 goals to 29.
Tertnes sit fifth on 10 points from five victories and one draw, while Larvik sit on 12 points with no setbacks. Both sides have won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Tertnes scored 163 goals and conceded 140 in that run; Larvik scored 162 and conceded 144. The similarity in scoring patterns makes this a close encounter, but Larvik's unbeaten record carries more weight.
The head-to-head record shows Larvik ahead 4-2 in the last six meetings. Tertnes won two of the earlier fixtures in October 2024, but Larvik have dominated since. The pattern suggests the visitors know how to handle this opponent.
Both teams played European matches within the last eight days. Tertnes beat Skara 33:28 at home on 11 October after losing to Storhamar 27:35 away. Larvik won 34:32 against Nice at home on 10 October following a 27:28 defeat away in France. The fixture congestion could level the playing field, but Larvik's superior squad depth should tell over 60 minutes.
A red card or early injury would change the dynamic entirely, though no team news is available.
Larvik HK Women to win
The visitors carry a perfect record and a psychological edge from recent meetings. Tertnes have nothing to fear in terms of motivation — they remain unbeaten domestically — but the head-to-head trend and league position point away from the home side.