Trabzon Ortahisar Women vs Yalıkavak SK Women: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Yalıkavak SK Women are the clear favourites for Sunday's meeting, and the data leaves little room for doubt. They have won seven of eight head-to-head meetings and took a 40:30 victory in the most recent encounter on 23 May. Trabzon Ortahisar Women have lost every one of their last five matches and are on a run of five defeats without a single point.

The gap in quality is visible in the scores. Trabzon scored 149 goals in their last five games while conceding 176 — a negative differential of 27. Yalıkavak scored 152 and conceded 140, a positive differential of 12. The model expects Trabzon to score 28.4 goals and Yalıkavak 31.8. That 3.4-goal margin in expectation aligns with the pattern seen in recent meetings.

The head-to-head record tells a consistent story. Of eight matches, Yalıkavak won seven and Trabzon one. The only win for the home side came on 28 February 2026, when Trabzon held a 34:31 victory. Since then Yalıkavak have won four straight, including the 40:30 result at their own ground and the 35:31 win away from home on 25 April. The visitors have not lost a meeting in over six months.

Trabzon's form offers no sign of reversal. All five recent matches ended in defeat, with losses both at home and away. They dropped 28:31 on the road to Üsküdar BSK, 31:38 away to Bursa BB, and 30:40 away to Yalıkavak. At home they lost 31:35 to Yalıkavak and 29:32 to Üsküdar BSK. The pattern is uniform — they have not won, drawn, or scored more than they conceded in any of these fixtures.

The model's expectations point to a comfortable away performance. The 28.4 to 31.8 goal projection suggests Yalıkavak will control the tempo and create more chances. Trabzon's defensive record — conceding 35.2 goals per game on average over five matches — makes it difficult to see how they limit the visitors. The 0% draw probability in the model's output reflects the gulf in current form.

Trabzon would need to rewrite their recent record to change this. A single win in five matches would require a dramatic shift in both attack and defence. If they fail to tighten up at the back, the visitors will likely extend their winning run further.

Yalıkavak SK Women to win.