Varberg vs Aranas: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Varberg win. The model expects Varberg to outscore Aranas by 2.8 goals on average. In handball terms that is a modest margin.

Varberg have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches, scoring 153 and conceding 156. Their only victory came at home against Kroppskultur 36-28, while their draw was 31-31 away to Tyresö Handboll. They lost three times, including a heavy 27-35 defeat at home to Helsingborg HK. Aranas have 6 points from 5 games, winning away at LUGI HF 35-34 and at home against IFK Ystads 30-27, but they have lost 3 matches and drawn none.

The head-to-head is evenly balanced. Six meetings have produced 2 wins for each side and 2 draws. The most recent encounter ended 25-25 at Varberg in February. Before that, Aranas won 35-30 at home in October 2025. Varberg claimed 24-20 at home in March 2025, while Aranas drew 34-34 in October 2024.

The model's figures suggest a total of 58.2 goals, with Varberg averaging slightly more per match. The 0% draw probability means the model never produced a draw. The 0% figure for both teams scoring and 3+ goals is unusual for handball, but it is what the data shows.

This conclusion stops holding if Aranas find a way to exploit Varberg's defensive frailties. Varberg have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches and lost 3. A shift in momentum could see the visitors close the gap or overturn the expectation entirely.

What remains is the model's output and the historical record between these two clubs.

Varberg's home record in recent meetings is mixed. They won 24-20 in March 2025 and drew 25-25 in February 2026 at their own venue. Aranas have won here once in 22-28 in September 2023.

No team news available.

The model expects Varberg to outscore Aranas by 2.8 goals on average. In handball terms that is a modest margin.