Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Gyor
Prediction for
Win: Veszprem
73%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 17:09Veszprem to win. The gap between the sides is not a matter of luck or momentum — it is written across five meetings and five straight victories for the hosts, with the model placing their expected output at 38.8 goals against Gyor's 28.
Veszprem have not stumbled in any of their last five matches. Five wins, zero draws, zero losses, with 204 goals scored and 123 conceded across friendlies against Valladolid, Torrelavega, Cisne, Celje and Gyor. The margin against Győr on 6 August was 44:25, a result that came away from home and has not been repeated since. The side is scoring freely and conceding at a rate that suggests control rather than survival.
Gyor's record over the same period tells a different story. Two wins and three losses, 140 goals for and 174 against. Their last defeat came at home to Veszprem on 6 August, and before that a 30:27 loss away to Balatonfuredi on 2 May. The side has won two of five, but the defeats have come against teams of varying stature, and the goal difference of 34 against is the clearest indicator of where they stand.
The head-to-head record leaves no ambiguity. Five meetings recorded, five wins for Veszprem, none for Gyor. Győr have not taken a point from Veszprém in any competition over this span.
The model's projections align with the historical pattern. Veszprem expected goals at 38.8, Gyor at 28. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals for Veszprém at 0%. These figures are not predictions of a single match but averages across many simulations, yet they reflect the consistency of Veszprém's output and Győr's vulnerability in recent fixtures.
A draw would suit Gyor — and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat to this conclusion. If the match stays close into the final ten minutes and Győr find a way to frustrate Veszprem's attack, the result could shift. But the data does not support that scenario: Veszprém have not conceded more than 32 goals in any of their last five matches, and Győr have failed to score more than 31 in any of theirs.