Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Veszprem
81%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 17:09Veszprem to win. The model expects 41.2 goals for the hosts against 25 for NEKA, and the data supports that gap: Veszprém have won all three head-to-head meetings, scored 195 goals in their last five matches while conceding 123, and sit second in the table with two points from one game. NEKA are tenth, have not played yet, and lost 40-51 to Veszprém in May.
Veszprem opened the new NB I season with a 35-25 victory over Gyor on 2 September, extending a run of five wins in five matches that saw them score 195 goals and concede 123. The average works out at 39 goals per match for the hosts, which sits close to the model's 41.2 projection. They have not dropped a point.
NEKA have not played a competitive match yet this season. Their last five fixtures all came in April and May 2026: three wins and two losses, 161 goals scored and 181 conceded. The 17-42 defeat to Szeged and the 40-51 loss to Veszprem show they can be outscored heavily. They sit tenth in the table with zero points from zero games.
The three most recent meetings all ended in Veszprem victories. On 23 November 2024 the home side won 52-27. On 25 March 2025 NEKA lost 29-38 at home. On 20 May 2026 the visitors were beaten 40-51. The average margin is 15 goals in Veszprém's favour.
The simulation gives Veszprem 41.2 expected goals and NEKA 25. The draw probability is 0%, both teams to score is 0%, and three or more goals margin is 0%.
The prediction fails if NEKA can impose a physical style that disrupts Veszprem's rhythm — the home side has not been tested against that approach yet. A draw would suit the visitors given how they tend to run the clock down, and that is the main threat.