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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Wybrzeże Gdańsk
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 7
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 23:26Victory for the Visitors in Gdańsk
Legionowo defeated Wybrzeże Gdańsk 34-33 in the Superliga on 6 September 2026. The result overturned a long-standing trend; the hosts had won all six previous encounters in the last five years. The model that had predicted a home victory with 56% confidence was wrong. This result marks the first point for Legionowo and the first loss for Wybrzeże Gdańsk in the new campaign.
Recent Form and Standings
The visitors arrived with a mixed record, having won two and lost three of their last five matches, scoring 164 goals and conceding 150. Wybrzeże Gdańsk, by contrast, had won four of their last five games, netting 171 goals to 155. In the standings, Legionowo took sixth place while Wybrzeże Gdańsk dropped to seventh after these single-match rounds.
Head-to-Head History
The historical data showed a clear hierarchy before this match. Wybrzeże Gdańsk had beaten Legionowo in every meeting since May 2024, including a 38-30 win in May 2024 and a 34-26 victory in December 2025. The 33-34 scoreline was the closest result in this period, breaking the pattern of decisive home wins. The prediction model had expected 29 goals for the hosts and 26.7 for the visitors, a gap that did not materialise.
Match Context
Both teams had played only one match in the Superliga at the time of this fixture. The result shifted the points total in the table, giving Legionowo a share of the spoils against a side that had been dominant in previous seasons. The match ended with a one-goal margin, confirming the absence of a draw as predicted by the model.