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Ystads IF Women vs IFK Kungälv Women: match prediction on 5 September 2026

Swedish Cup Women Ystad Arena Ystad Miss Match page
Ystads IF Women IFK Kungälv Women

Prediction for

Win: IFK Kungälv Women

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

5% 1
95% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 13:09

Ystads IF Women are set to win the return leg. The 31:19 victory they secured away on 29 August gives them the advantage, and Kungälv's recent form offers little reason to expect a turnaround.

The first leg was decisive. Ystads IF Women went to Kungälv's ground and ran out 31:19 winners in the Swedish Cup. That margin means the visitors can control the tempo without taking risks, while Kungälv are forced to attack and potentially expose themselves. The scoreline also suggests Ystads' attack was operating at a level Kungälv could not match.

Both sides sit second in the cup table, but the points tell a slightly different story. Ystads have 3 points from three matches with one win, one draw and one loss. Kungälv hold 4 points from the same number of games, having won twice and drawn once without a defeat. The table positions are close, but the head-to-head result carries more weight in a two-legged tie.

Recent form sharply divides the two teams. Ystads have won three of their last five matches, scoring 141 goals and conceding 122. Kungälv have managed just one victory in five games, with 112 goals for and 126 against. Ystads are in form; Kungälv are not.

Ystads won that encounter and Kungälv have no victories to build on.

The model backs a home win. Kungälv’s tally is off. If Kungälv score early and Ystads lose their composure, the tie becomes uncertain. Otherwise, Ystads win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 13:09
  • Юстадс ИФ (жен.) — 2. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
  • ИФК Кунгэльв Женщины — 2. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Юстадс ИФ (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • ИФК Кунгэльв Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Юстадс ИФ (жен.) — 1, ИФК Кунгэльв Женщины — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ystads IF Women WLWDL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
IFK Kungälv Women LWLLD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 1

1Ystads IF Women 0Draw 0IFK Kungälv Women
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+