Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Prediction for
Win: IFK Kungälv Women
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 13:09Ystads IF Women are set to win the return leg. The 31:19 victory they secured away on 29 August gives them the advantage, and Kungälv's recent form offers little reason to expect a turnaround.
The first leg was decisive. Ystads IF Women went to Kungälv's ground and ran out 31:19 winners in the Swedish Cup. That margin means the visitors can control the tempo without taking risks, while Kungälv are forced to attack and potentially expose themselves. The scoreline also suggests Ystads' attack was operating at a level Kungälv could not match.
Both sides sit second in the cup table, but the points tell a slightly different story. Ystads have 3 points from three matches with one win, one draw and one loss. Kungälv hold 4 points from the same number of games, having won twice and drawn once without a defeat. The table positions are close, but the head-to-head result carries more weight in a two-legged tie.
Recent form sharply divides the two teams. Ystads have won three of their last five matches, scoring 141 goals and conceding 122. Kungälv have managed just one victory in five games, with 112 goals for and 126 against. Ystads are in form; Kungälv are not.
Ystads won that encounter and Kungälv have no victories to build on.
The model backs a home win. Kungälv’s tally is off. If Kungälv score early and Ystads lose their composure, the tie becomes uncertain. Otherwise, Ystads win.