Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
Zaglebie Women vs MKS Lublin Women: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Zaglebie Women
MKS Lublin Women
Prediction for
Win: Zaglebie Women
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
58%
1
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05- Заглебе Жен — 2. place, 12 points after 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- МКС Люблин Женщины — 1. place, 12 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
- Заглебе Жен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- МКС Люблин Женщины, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 18 games, Заглебе Жен — 14, МКС Люблин Женщины — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Zaglebie Women
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
MKS Lublin Women
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 19
14Zaglebie Women
0Draw
5MKS Lublin Women
- 22 MayZaglebie Women — MKS Lublin Women29:26
- 14 JanMKS Lublin Women — Zaglebie Women34:28
- 15 Nov 2025Zaglebie Women — MKS Lublin Women35:30
- 8 Nov 2025MKS Lublin Women — Zaglebie Women24:29
- 25 May 2025Zaglebie Women — MKS Lublin Women34:31
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 17:05Zaglebie Women to win at home, backed by their 4-1-0 record and the model's expectation of 28 goals to MKS Lublin's 26.4. This conclusion stops holding if MKS Lublin's perfect away form from their European campaign translates into a higher-scoring performance than the model anticipates.
MKS Lublin enter as table leaders with a flawless 4-0-0 record and 12 points from four matches, while Zaglebie sit fourth with the same point tally after five games, holding one draw in their tally. The difference in games played matters less than the consistency: MKS Lublin have won every fixture without dropping a single point, whereas Zaglebie's sole blemish came at home against Kobierzyce with a 25-30 defeat.
Recent form shows both sides scoring freely. Zaglebie's five matches produced 160 goals scored and 124 conceded, including a 40-25 victory away at Start Elbląg and a 39-22 win on the road against Radom. MKS Lublin are even sharper, netting 172 goals in five games while conceding 121, with victories including 38-26 away at Sosnica Gliwice and 36-24 at home against Piotrcovia in European competition.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Zaglebie: 14 wins from 18 meetings compared to MKS Lublin's four. In the last six encounters, Zaglebie have won four times, including a 29-26 home victory in May 2026 and a 35-30 win in November 2025.
The model projects Zaglebie to score 28 goals and MKS Lublin 26.4, with a 0% probability of a draw. This narrow margin aligns with the pattern seen in their recent meetings, where victories have typically come by three or four goals. Zaglebie's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture underpin the expectation of a tight win.
A draw would break this conclusion, particularly if MKS Lublin adopt a conservative approach after their European fixtures. The visitors have shown capacity to manage games away from home, and a stalemate would suit their tactical discipline even if it contradicts the model's 0% draw probability.
This figure reflects the balance between MKS Lublin's perfect form and Zaglebie's historical edge in this fixture.