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ZPRP Kielce II vs Ruda Slaska: match prediction on 3 October 2026

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ZPRP Kielce II Ruda Slaska

Prediction for

Win: ZPRP Kielce II

64%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

64% 1
36% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10

Kielce II are projected to outscore Ruda Slaska 32.1 to 27.5, a margin that aligns with their dominance in recent head-to-head meetings and their superior goal-scoring rate. The home side’s expectation of over 32 goals suggests an open game where their attack should prove too potent for an away team struggling to find consistency.

Kielce II sit 12th in the table with 2 points from 3 matches, a start that belies a volatile run in their last five outings. They have recorded two wins and three defeats in that span, including a heavy 40:41 loss to Przeworsk in April and a narrow 29:28 victory over Chrzanów at home in September. Their recent form shows they can score freely, netting 157 goals in five games, but they have also conceded 168, indicating a defensive vulnerability that could be exploited.

Ruda Slaska occupy the 9th position with 3 points from 3 matches, yet their momentum has stalled significantly. The visitors have won just one of their last five matches, losing four times in that period. Their most recent outing saw them fall 26:31 away to Chrzanów, continuing a trend of poor performances. They have scored 126 goals and conceded 146 in their last five games, a deficit that highlights their struggles to maintain a competitive edge against opponents.

History strongly favours the home side in this fixture. Kielce II have won three of the four meetings between these teams, including a convincing 34:23 victory at Ruda Slaska’s ground in February 2026. The only defeat came in April 2025, when Ruda Slaska edged a close 25:22 contest. The pattern suggests that Kielce II have the psychological and tactical upper hand, particularly when playing at home where they have won both previous encounters against this opponent.

The projection of a 32.1 to 27.5 scoreline implies a high-scoring affair with little room for a stalemate. Otherwise, the home side’s superior firepower and historical dominance should secure the three points.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10
  • Кельце II — 12. place, 2 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Руда Сласка — 9. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Кельце II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Руда Сласка, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Кельце II — 3, Руда Сласка — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

ZPRP Kielce II WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Ruda Slaska LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 4

3ZPRP Kielce II 0Draw 1Ruda Slaska
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+