Zvezda Zvenigorod Women vs Chernomorochka Women: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Zvezda Zvenigorod Women to win. The hosts have dominated this fixture in recent years and their attack has been more prolific than Chernomorochka's. Model favours hosts.

The home side took all three points in their opening match, beating Dinamo-Sinara Volgograd 29:27 at home on 8 September. Chernomorochka also won their opener, putting away Luch 35:28 on the same day. Both teams sit on two points after one game, but Zvezda's margin was narrower and their recent record shows more consistency across five matches.

Zvezda have won three of their last five games, scoring 146 goals and conceding 133. Chernomorochka have won two and lost three in the same period, netting 141 while allowing 146. The home side's attack has been sharper, and their defensive record is tighter too.

Over the last 11 meetings Zvezda have won four times while Chernomorochka have claimed seven victories. The most recent encounters tell a different story. Zvezda won 34:26 at home on 20 May and 35:26 away on 12 May. Chernomorochka's only win in that stretch came 25:21 at home in January.

Model projects 28.5–28, rates draw at 0%, flags low-scoring match. The expected scoreline points to a narrow home victory.

What could shift the balance

Visitors win if they match Zvezda's attack. The visitors have shown they can score heavily, as seen in their 35:28 win over Luch. If they find their rhythm early and Zvezda's defence starts to crack, the away side could take all three points.

Home win priced at 51%, backed by Zvezda's scoring rate and recent fixture dominance.