Salzburg beat Liberec 3:0 in the Continental Cup of Champions on Friday, a result that puts the hosts above their visitors in the standings after both sides had started the tournament with defeats.
By then the visitors had already tasted a 6:3 loss to a Finnish side, so the gap between expectation and reality was wider than anyone predicted. And here's the thing: the bookmakers were pricing a low-scoring game, but the hosts blew them away from the start.
Three goals separated the teams, none of them close calls. The visitors were second to everything, and the difference showed in the scoreline rather than in any moment of drama.
To be fair, the hosts had not been convincing either, losing 5:2 to Cologne just three days earlier, but this was a different kind of performance. They held every card, and the visitors could not find a way to make the game competitive.
The standings now show Salzburg in 20th place and Liberec in 18th, both with zero points after one defeat each. Our prediction of a visitors' win with 91 per cent confidence was wrong, and the hosts' early dominance broke the forecast.