Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
AKM vs Orsk: match prediction on 10 October 2026
AKM
Orsk
Prediction for
Win: AKM
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
19%
X
31%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05- АКМ — 5. place, 0 points after 12 games (7 wins, 5 losses)
- Орск — 10. place, 0 points after 9 games (6 wins, 3 losses)
- АКМ, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Орск, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, АКМ — 4, Орск — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
AKM
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Orsk
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 11
5AKM
0Draw
6Orsk
- 9 AugOrsk — AKM4:3
- 2 MarOrsk — AKM4:2
- 12 Sep 2025AKM — Orsk3:2
- 15 Jan 2025AKM — Orsk4:2
- 6 Nov 2024Orsk — AKM4:0
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05Orsk to edge AKM 2:1 or 3:2 on Saturday. The visitors sit on a five-match winning streak while AKM have lost three of their last five, and Orsk have won the last two meetings between the sides. There is 55% confidence in the visitors taking something from Tula.
Recent form
Orsk's run reads 5 wins from 5 matches, 17 goals scored, 7 conceded. They beat Ryazan 3:2 away, then went through with 4:0 and 2:1 at home before a 3:0 victory over CSK VVS and a 5:4 thriller against Khimik. AKM's last five show 2 wins and 3 losses, 16 goals for and 13 against. They lost 0:3 at Perm, won 3:0 at Toros Neftekamsk, then dropped points in back-to-back 3:4 defeats to Izhevsk and Olympia before a 7:2 home win over Kristall Saratov.
Orsk have taken 15 points from 15 available in their last five. AKM have 6.
Home advantage, limited
AKM have only one home win in their last five matches, a 7:2 demolition of Kristall Saratov. The other four came away from Tula. Orsk have won three of their last five at home and two away, but their away record against AKM has been decent — they won 1:4 away in February 2024.
The hosts are fifth after 12 matches with 7 wins and 5 losses. Orsk are sixth after 10 matches with 7 wins and 3 losses. They are level on wins, but Orsk have played fewer games and lost fewer.
Recent meetings favour visitors
Orsk have won four of six recorded meetings, AKM two. The last two were decisive: 4:3 in a club friendly and 4:2 in the VHL. Orsk have not lost since November 2024 when they beat AKM 4:0 at home. The hosts' last victory over Orsk came in January 2025, 4:2 at home.
The model suggests goals
Expected goals stand at 2.6 for AKM and 2.2 for Orsk. The model rates a draw at 20%, both teams to score at 80%, and three or more goals at 85%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 7%, 2:1 at 6%, and 3:2 at 6%. Two of those three favour the visitors.
Orsk's attack has been potent — 17 goals in five games. AKM's defence has been leaky — 13 conceded in five. The numbers point towards goals and a narrow visitor advantage.
When the prediction fails
A draw suits Orsk's approach — they can take the points and control the tempo. If the match goes to 1:1 or 2:2, the visitors have the experience to see it out. There is risk if AKM's financial uncertainty affects concentration, but that is speculation, not fact. The real danger is a stalemate that Orsk do not want to lose.