Brest vs Neman Grodno: match prediction on 29 September 2026

Brest are the clear favourites at home against Neman Grodno, a side that has lost every one of their last five matches and sits 12th in the table. The model puts Brest's win probability at 59%.

Brest have won three of their last five games, scoring 17 goals while conceding 15. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 victory over Neman Grodno just yesterday in the Extraliga. Neman Grodno, meanwhile, have failed to win in five matches, taking zero points from those games while scoring five and conceding 14.

The two sides have met 19 times in recent years, with Brest claiming nine victories and Neman Grodno ten. Brest have won four of the last six meetings, including both league fixtures this season. The only exception was a 4-2 cup victory for Neman Grodno in August.

The simulation projects Brest to score 2.9 goals and Neman Grodno 2.0. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 82%, with 86% for three or more goals in the match. The most likely scorelines are 2:1, 2:2, and 3:1, each at 6%.

A draw would suit Neman Grodno's approach to these fixtures, particularly if they manage to control the tempo and limit chances. Given their recent tendency to run the clock down in tight games, that scenario remains the primary threat to the prediction.