Calgary Hitmen vs Edmonton Oil Kings: match prediction on 26 September 2026

The hosts entered the fixture in third place with one win from one game, while the visitors sat in second after an identical record.

The Hitmen arrived with strong momentum, having won four and lost one of their previous five matches. They scored 19 goals and conceded 14 during that run. The Oil Kings were less consistent, recording three wins and two defeats in their last five outings, netting 20 goals while allowing 12.

Historically, the Hitmen have dominated this fixture. Over 38 meetings in recent years, Calgary has claimed 26 victories compared to Edmonton’s 12. The most recent head-to-head saw the Hitmen win 4-3 away on 20 September, but the Oil Kings had rebounded with a 4-2 victory at home on 13 September.

The visitors saw the departure of Curtis Lazar. The 31-year-old centre signed a one-year contract with Lausanne HC in Switzerland. The news was dated 18 September, suggesting he would not be available for the weekend fixture.

Before the match, a model predicted a tight contest. It expected Calgary to score 3.2 goals and Edmonton 3.3. The probability of both teams scoring was set at 93 per cent, with the most likely outcome identified as a 3-3 draw. A pre-match service pick suggested a slight edge for the Oil Kings with 42 per cent confidence.

The supplied standings data presents a partial picture. Both teams are listed with zero points despite having one win each. This discrepancy prevents an accurate assessment of the league table beyond the confirmed win-loss records.