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České Budějovice vs Kometa Brno: match prediction on 5 October 2026

Extraliga Budvar Arena České Budějovice Miss Match page
České Budějovice Kometa Brno

Prediction for

Win: Kometa Brno

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

32% 1
18% X
50% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 16:45

HC Kometa Brno to win

I see no grounds for HC České Budějovice to hold HC Kometa Brno here on 2026-10-05. The model expects the visitors to score 2.9 goals against the hosts' 2.4, and that edge shows in the recent head-to-head.

Brno have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared to 2 for the hosts. They have netted 18 goals while conceding 16 in that span, whereas HC České Budějovice have managed 13 goals for and 20 against.

The history between them adds an edge for the visitors. In the last 6 meetings, Brno have claimed 3 victories while HC České Budějovice have won 2, with 1 draw. The hosts have lost the last 2 encounters at home, 2:3 and 2:4.

The table positions are tight, with HC České Budějovice sitting 8th and Brno 9th after 7 and 6 games respectively. The gap between them is minimal, but the visitors' form suggests they are the ones to push for points on the rink.

I'd change my mind if it's a draw, which the model rates at 18%. A stalemate would suit the hosts' defensive approach, but given the 90% probability of 3 or more goals, a tight affair seems unlikely.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 16:45
  • Чешке Будеёвице — 5. place, 0 points after 7 games (3 wins, 4 losses)
  • Комета Брно — 10. place, 0 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
  • Чешке Будеёвице, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Комета Брно, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 20 games, Чешке Будеёвице — 9, Комета Брно — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

České Budějovice LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Kometa Brno LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 29

12České Budějovice 0Draw 17Kometa Brno
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+