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CSK VVS vs Izhevsk: match prediction on 16 September 2026

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CSK VVS Izhevsk

Prediction for

Win: CSK VVS

46%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

46% 1
18% X
36% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:13

CSK VVS win — 46% confidence, and the model expects them to edge a tight contest 3:2 or 2:1. The model drops CSK VVS if Izhevsk strike first and slow the tempo, which suits their away style.

CSK VVS have won just one of their last five matches, a 1:0 home victory against Olympia on 14 September, before slipping back to four defeats. Izhevsk have been steadier of late, claiming two wins in their last five outings — a 3:0 clean sheet against Zvezda Moscow on 9 September and a 4:3 friendly win over Perm on 15 August. Both sides sit on zero points in the table, Izhevsk in 20th place after four games, CSK VVS in 22nd after five.

History leans heavily towards the hosts, though Izhevsk took the last meeting. The most recent clash ended 2:1 to Izhevsk on 5 February 2026, but before that CSK VVS dominated — a 4:3 win at home on 4 December 2024, a 4:1 friendly victory on 24 August 2024, a 5:4 thriller on 19 January 2024, and a 7:1 rout on 30 September 2023. In VHL matches specifically the record stands at 2-2.

The model projects 2.7 goals for CSK VVS and 2.4 for Izhevsk, with an 88% chance of three or more goals and an 85% probability both sides score. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 3:2 at 6%, and 2:1 at 5%. A draw sits at 18%. The figures suggest a high-scoring affair where the hosts' edge in expected output tips the balance.

If the visitors take an early lead and slow the game down, the hosts may struggle to find a rhythm. CSK VVS have conceded 11 goals in five matches and could pay for a sloppy opening.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:13
  • ЦСК ВВС — 30. place, 0 points after 4 games (0 wins, 4 losses)
  • Ижевск — 17. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
  • ЦСК ВВС, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Ижевск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, ЦСК ВВС — 6, Ижевск — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

CSK VVS LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Izhevsk LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 13

10CSK VVS 0Draw 3Izhevsk
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+