ELJ
Jihlava U20
Slavia Praha U20
Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Dyn. Altay vs Kurhan: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Dyn. Altay
Kurhan
Prediction for
Slight edge: Dyn. Altay
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
49%
1
19%
X
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 13:01- Динамо Алтай — 5. place, 0 points after 5 games (5 wins, 0 losses)
- Курган — 27. place, 0 points after 6 games (1 wins, 5 losses)
- Динамо Алтай, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Курган, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Динамо Алтай — 1, Курган — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dyn. Altay
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Kurhan
LWLLD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 2
1Dyn. Altay
0Draw
1Kurhan
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 13:01# Dyn. Altay to Win at 49% Confidence
The model gives them a 49% chance of victory. They have won all five matches so far, scoring 14 goals while conceding just four, and they face a Kurhan side sitting 27th after one victory from six games.
The hosts have been particularly efficient at home. Two of their five wins came at their own rink — a 4:1 victory over Rubin Tyumen and a 2:0 shutout against HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk. They have also shown they can grind out results away from home, winning 3:1 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, 1:0 at Krasnoyarsk, and 4:2 at HK Norilsk. Kurhan, by contrast, have managed only one win on the road in their last five matches, a 2:1 victory at Hc Norilsk on 18 September. Their other four outings have ended in defeat, including a 0:4 loss at Metallurg Novokuznetsk on 23 September.
The head-to-head record offers no clear pattern. The two teams met twice in recent years, each claiming a win. On 30 September 2025, Kurhan won 6:4 at home in a high-scoring affair. Dyn. Altay responded with a 4:2 victory at their own venue on 16 February 2026. The model's expectation of 2.7 goals for the hosts and 2.2 for the visitors reflects that balance.
The statistics point towards a game with goals at both ends. The model puts the probability of both teams scoring at 83%, and the chance of three or more goals at 86%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 (7%), 2:1 (6%), and 3:2 (6%). Dyn. Altay's defensive record — four goals conceded in five matches — suggests they will not be drawn into a shootout, but Kurhan's attacking record of five goals in six games means they are capable of finding the net.
This prediction rests on Dyn. Altay maintaining their current form and converting their expected goals. A draw would suit the visitors, and given how they have run matches on the road, that is the main threat to the outcome. If Kurhan manage to keep the score level for long enough, or if Dyn. Altay fail to convert their chances, the model's confidence would drop. The current 49% figure assumes both sides perform in line with their recent output.
Outcome: Dyn. Altay to win
Confidence: 49%