Dyn. Moscow vs SKA-1946: match prediction on 5 October 2026

SKA-1946 to win at 65%.

SKA-1946 carry momentum into this fixture. They have won three of their last five matches, outscoring opponents 11:7 in that span. Dyn. Moscow sit on the opposite end of that spectrum, with only one victory in their last five outings and a goal difference of 8:14 against. The visitors are fifth in the standings after seven games, while the hosts are eighth after eight.

Recent meetings

The last two encounters at Dyn. Moscow's arena both went to SKA-1946, 3:2 and 4:2 respectively. Those results came in February this year, and they follow a pattern where the visitors have been harder to pin down at home for the hosts. Across 20 meetings in total, SKA-1946 have 15 wins to Dyn. Moscow's five, though the last six fixtures show a more balanced tally of three wins apiece.

The model expects 2.4 goals for Dyn. Moscow and 3.0 for SKA-1946. A draw carries just 18% probability, while both teams scoring sits at 87%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2, 2:3 and 1:2, each clustering around 5-6%. Those figures point toward a match with goals on both sides and a slight edge to the visitors.

Form matters

Dyn. Moscow's last five results read 0:2, 5:1, 1:4, 1:4, 1:3. They lost four of those, including two heavy defeats to Loko away. SKA-1946's last five show 1:2, 0:2, 4:2, 3:1, 3:0. Two losses, three wins, and they have kept two clean sheets in that period. The hosts have not kept a clean sheet in any of their recent matches.

This prediction does not hold if Dyn. Moscow rediscover the form that produced the 5:1 victory over Red Mashine Atlant on 27 September. That was their only win in five games, and it showed they can still score freely at home. If they replicate that output, the model's expectations shift, and the visitors no longer have the clear advantage.