ELJ
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47%
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Guildford
Prediction for
Slight edge: Sheffield
45%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 40
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 19:43Guildford ended Sheffield’s undefeated run with a 7-4 victory in the Elite League on 23 September 2026. The result moved Sheffield to first place in the table with one win and no losses, while Guildford remained in eighth position having completed their first fixture.
Scoring pattern
The match produced eleven goals, exceeding the model’s expectation of six. Guildford scored seven and Sheffield four, confirming the prediction that both teams would score and that three or more goals would be netted, a probability the model placed at 94 per cent. The final score differed from the most probable predictions of 2-3 and 3-3.
Form and history
Sheffield arrived unbeaten in five league and cup matches, winning four and losing one, while Guildford had secured three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five outings. In head-to-head meetings over recent years, Sheffield had won 24 of 32 encounters and Guildford seven, with one draw. This result reversed the previous Elite League meeting on the same date, which was not recorded in the dossier; the last recorded Elite League match between the sides ended 5-1 to Sheffield.
Table implications
Sheffield’s position at the top of the Elite League table is confirmed by their single win. Guildford’s record shows no points accumulated prior to this game, and the seven-goal haul did not shift them from eighth place. No further changes to the standings were reported.