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Gyergyoi vs Csikszereda: match prediction on 2 October 2026

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Gyergyoi Csikszereda

Prediction for

Win: Gyergyoi

68%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
15% X
17% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 30 Sep, 16:30

Gyergyoi to win

Confidence: 78%

Gyergyoi are heavy favourites to beat Csikszereda on Thursday, with the model placing their victory probability at 86%. The hosts have won every one of the six recorded meetings between these sides, including a 5:3 triumph in the Romanian Cup just over a month ago.

Gyergyoi's dominance over these opponents goes back years. Of 32 meetings in total, they have won 28 while Csikszereda have claimed just four. The pattern has been consistent even recently: 5:0, 4:3, 3:1, 2:6, 2:6, 5:3 — the visitors have failed to win in any of the last six encounters. The most recent meeting on 5 September ended 5:3 to Gyergyoi in cup competition, a result that mirrors the expected goals model's projection of 3.8 for the hosts against 1.9 for the visitors.

Gyergyoi arrive in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches while scoring 27 goals and conceding just four. Two of those victories came by 10:0 margins — against DAB and Sportul Studentesc. The visitors have won three of their last five but their goal difference tells a different story: 18 scored, 21 conceded.

The model expects 3.8 goals for Gyergyoi and 1.9 for Csikszereda, with an 83% probability that both teams score and a 92% chance of three or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines are 3:1, 3:2 and 4:1, each at 6% probability. A draw carries just a 14% chance — the lowest of the three possible outcomes. These figures align with Gyergyoi's recent scoring patterns and Csikszereda's defensive vulnerabilities away from home.

Final prediction: Gyergyoi win

Reasoning

Based on data as of 30 Sep, 16:30
  • Дьерёи — 1. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Чиксереда — 5. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Дьерёи, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Чиксереда, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 32 games, Дьерёи — 28, Чиксереда — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Gyergyoi WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Csikszereda LWDWL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 46

32Gyergyoi 0Draw 14Csikszereda
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+