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Gyergyoi vs DAB: match prediction on 25 September 2026

Erste Liga Gyergyószentmiklósi Műjégpálya Gheorgheni Hit Match page
Gyergyoi DAB

Prediction for

Win: Gyergyoi

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

67% 1
13% X
20% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 23 Sep, 16:44

Gyergyoi to win. The model expects 3.6 goals for the hosts against DAB's 2.3, and the recent head-to-head record supports that gap: Gyergyoi have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these sides, including a 6:0 victory in January 2026 and a 5:2 win at the start of 2025. DAB have lost all five of their last matches, conceding 28 goals while scoring just 2, and they sit 9th in the table with 0 points after 2 games.

Form and momentum

Gyergyoi sit 5th after 3 matches with 1 win and 2 losses, collecting 0 points across the season so far. Their last five games show 3 wins and 2 defeats, with 15 goals scored and 10 conceded. They lost 1:2 at home to DVTK on 24 September and dropped 1:4 away at Újpest TE, but bounced back with a 5:2 victory over Feha19 and a 3:2 win against Brasov in the Romanian Cup. DAB are in a different position entirely. They have lost every match this season and in their last five outings, going from a 1:7 defeat to Fenestela to consecutive 0:6 losses in the Tatra Cup. They have not won, not drawn, and not scored more than once in any of those five games.

Head-to-head dominance

Over the past few years the two sides have met 19 times, with Gyergyoi winning 15 and DAB taking 4. The most recent encounter on 11 January 2026 ended 6:0 in Gyergyoi's favour at home.. DAB's only victories came away from home, 3:1 on 22 November 2024 and 3:4 on 13 October 2024. The pattern is clear: Gyergyoi have been the stronger side in every recent meeting, and the scorelines have often been decisive.

What the model sees

The statistical model projects 3.6 goals for Gyergyoi and 2.3 for DAB. That gives a 15% chance of a draw, 87% that both teams will score, and 93% probability of three or more goals in the match. The most likely scorelines are 3:2 at 6%, 4:2 at 5%, and 3:1 at 5%. These figures reflect the attacking output of Gyergyoi over recent matches and the defensive frailty of DAB, who have conceded an average of 5.6 goals per game in their last five outings. The model does not account for injuries or suspensions, but no team news is available to alter these projections.

When the prediction fails

A draw would suit DAB if they manage to contain the game and run down the clock, which is the main scenario where a Gyergyoi victory stops holding. The visitors have shown no ability to score consistently, but if they can keep the match tight and exploit set pieces, a stalemate becomes possible.. That number would drop significantly if Gyergyoi start poorly or if DAB find a way to frustrate the hosts early.

Table context

Gyergyoi and DAB are both on 0 points this season, but the gap in experience shows in the standings. Gyergyoi have played 3 matches and occupy 5th place, while DAB have completed 2 games and sit 9th. The points tally is identical, but the number of games played means Gyergyoi have had more opportunity to build momentum, even if their results have been mixed. DAB's position reflects their winless run, which extends beyond the league into cup competitions.

Final assessment

Gyergyoi are the stronger side on paper and in recent results. Their attacking record of 15 goals in 5 matches contrasts sharply with DAB's 2 goals in the same period. The head-to-head history, the model's projections, and the current form all point toward a home victory..

Reasoning

Based on data as of 23 Sep, 16:44
  • Гьергойи — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • ДАБ — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Гьергойи, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • ДАБ, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, Гьергойи — 15, ДАБ — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Gyergyoi WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses
DAB WLLDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 28

23Gyergyoi 0Draw 5DAB
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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