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Halifax Mooseheads vs Val-d’Or Foreurs: match prediction on 16 October 2026

QMJHL Scotiabank Centre Halifax Pending Match page
Halifax Mooseheads Val-d’Or Foreurs

Prediction for

Win: Val-d’Or Foreurs

50%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

35% 1
15% X
50% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 23:05

Val-d'Or Foreurs to win. The visitors arrive with momentum and a superior record, and the model's expected goals point to a higher-scoring affair that suits their attack.

Form and momentum

Val-d'Or have won four of their last five matches, including a 10-0 demolition of Charlottetown away on 14 October. They have scored 27 goals in that span while conceding just 11. Halifax have managed only two victories in their last five, with 14 goals for and 17 against. Val-d'Or have scored 13 more goals in that span than Halifax.

Standings and positioning

Val-d'Or sit first after nine matches with eight wins and three losses. Halifax are sixth after eight games, five wins and seven defeats. The visitors hold a six-point advantage in the table.

Head-to-head history

In the last six meetings Val-d'Or have won four times. The most recent clash on 7 December 2025 ended 5-2 to the visitors in Halifax. They also won 6-4 at home in November 2025. Halifax's victories came in 2024 and 2023.

Model expectations

The model projects 3.5 goals for Halifax and 4 for Val-d'Or. The draw probability is 15%, while both teams scoring is 95% and three or more goals 98%. The most likely scorelines are 3:3, 3:4 and 4:3, each at 4%. The numbers favour a wider margin for the visitors.

What could upset the prediction

A draw suits Halifax — if they can frustrate Val-d'Or's attack and keep the game tight, the visitors' confidence could falter.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 23:05
  • Халифакс Мусхедс — 6. place, 0 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
  • Валь-д’Ор Форерс — 1. place, 0 points after 9 games (7 wins, 2 losses)
  • Халифакс Мусхедс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Валь-д’Ор Форерс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Халифакс Мусхедс — 3, Валь-д’Ор Форерс — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Halifax Mooseheads LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Val-d’Or Foreurs WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 10

4Halifax Mooseheads 0Draw 6Val-d’Or Foreurs
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+