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HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk vs Buran Voronezh: match prediction on 13 October 2026

VHL Arena- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk Pending Match page
HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk Buran Voronezh

Prediction for

Win: HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

70%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

70% 1
15% X
15% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 15:05

HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk are expected to beat Buran Voronezh on Wednesday, 13 October, at 14:00 UTC. The hosts have won four of the six meetings since 2023, and the model gives them 2.8 expected goals against Buran's 1.4.

Yugra's recent run tells a different story from their head-to-head record. They have taken one win and four defeats in their last five fixtures, scoring six goals and conceding 11. Four of those defeats came on the road against Omskie Krylia, Rubin Tyumen, Dyn. Altay and Metallurg Novokuznetsk, with only a 3-0 victory over Kurhan on 29 September breaking the pattern.

Buran Voronezh arrive in far better shape. They have won four of their last five matches, picking up 12 points from a possible 15. Their only setback was a 3-4 loss at Rubin Tyumen on 11 October. They have scored 13 goals while letting in nine, including a 1-0 win at Omskie Krylia and a 4-2 home victory over Dyn. Altay on 1 October.

The history between these sides favours the hosts. They also claimed a 6-1 victory at Buran's ground in January 2024. Buran's two wins came in December 2024 and October 2023, but Yugra have dominated the recent encounters.

An 18% draw probability and a 72% chance both teams find the net point to an open game, while 80% of simulations see three or more goals. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 and 3-1, each at 8%. This conclusion stops holding if Buran take an early lead and manage the clock effectively.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 15:05
  • ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 22. place, 0 points after 11 games (6 wins, 5 losses)
  • Буран Воронеж — 2. place, 0 points after 13 games (9 wins, 4 losses)
  • ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Буран Воронеж, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 4, Буран Воронеж — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses
Buran Voronezh WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 9

7HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk 0Draw 2Buran Voronezh
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+