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HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk vs Tambov: match prediction on 15 October 2026

VHL Arena- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk Hit Match page
HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk Tambov

Prediction for

Win: HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

72% 1
18% X
10% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 15:05

HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk are expected to defeat Tambov with 75% confidence, driven by their historical superiority in this fixture and a statistical model that projects a heavy home victory despite their recent slump.

The hosts have won nine of 14 meetings between the sides, a record that carries weight when form is this uneven. Tambov's last five matches tell a different story — three victories and two defeats, including a 3:0 win at Kurhan and a 2:0 home victory over Dyn. Altay. HC Yugra have managed just one win in their past five games, losing four times, though that solitary success came 3:0 away at Kurhan on 29 September.

The model expects HC Yugra to score four goals while Tambov are projected for 1.2. The most likely outcomes cluster around a home win — 3:1 at 7%, 4:1 at 7%, and 3:0 at 6%. Eighty-nine per cent of simulations produce three or more goals, and the draw probability sits at just 10%. Both teams to score appears in 68% of scenarios.

This prediction relies on HC Yugra maintaining their attacking output; a failure to score in the opening period would undermine the forecast given Tambov's ability to capitalise on counter-attacks and their recent away form.

HC Yugra sit 23rd after 12 matches with six wins and six losses. Tambov occupy 11th place following 13 games, seven victories and six defeats.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 15:05
  • ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 23. place, 0 points after 12 games (6 wins, 6 losses)
  • Тамбов — 11. place, 0 points after 13 games (7 wins, 6 losses)
  • ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Тамбов, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 14 games, ХК Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 9, Тамбов — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk LWLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Tambov WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 19

13HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk 0Draw 6Tambov
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+