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Irbis vs SKA-1946: match prediction on 13 October 2026

MHL Tatneft Arena Kazan Hit Match page
Irbis SKA-1946

Prediction for

Slight edge: Irbis

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

45% 1
19% X
36% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 16:45

Irbis are favourites to win this MHL encounter, and the form gap between the sides makes that the most logical reading. Their last five matches produced four victories and only a single defeat, while SKA-1946 managed just two wins in the same period.

The home side sit second in the table after ten games, having claimed seven wins and suffered three defeats. SKA-1946 occupy sixth place following eleven matches with six victories and five losses. The points totals are level for both sides, but the win records tell the story clearly enough.

SKA-1946's away form has been far more erratic. They won 4-1 at Mikhaylov Academy U20 but lost 2-7 in the reverse fixture, and their two matches against Dyn. Moscow produced a 3-1 win and a 2-5 loss. Irbis have been scoring freely at home. Their last five fixtures generated 17 goals scored against eight conceded, with victories over Stalnye Lisy in two consecutive matches and a 7-3 demolition of Tolpar. The only blemish came against Tolpar in a 1-2 defeat.

The head-to-head record over the last three meetings runs in Irbis's favour. They won 5-1 at home in August 2026 and 5-3 away in the same month, while SKA-1946 claimed a 3-1 victory in August 2024. I expect Irbis to score around 2.7 goals and SKA-1946 2.5, with an 86% probability that both teams find the net and an 89% chance of three or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines seem to be 2:2, 3:2, and 2:3, each carrying a 5-6% probability.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 16:45
  • Ирбис — 2. place, 0 points after 10 games (7 wins, 3 losses)
  • СКА-1946 — 6. place, 0 points after 11 games (6 wins, 5 losses)
  • Ирбис, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • СКА-1946, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Ирбис — 2, СКА-1946 — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Irbis LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
SKA-1946 LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 8

4Irbis 0Draw 4SKA-1946
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+